What to Expect from CSGO Cases using a Simulator Part II: Breakout, Phoenix, Shadow, and Revolver
This is the second portion of my case simulation results where I will be opening Revolver, Breakout, Phoenix, and Shadow cases.
Overview:
This will be a guide to what you should be expecting using a Case Simulator. This is the second part of this guide, click here for part 1. If you missed part one, you can read it here. In this portion of the guide, I will be opening Breakout, Phoenix, Shadow, and Revolver. In this simulation I will be opening 200 cases of each case I listed above. The website that I will be using is called http://convars.com/case/. From my experience, this website delivers the most realistic experience akin to opening a case on CounterStrike: Global Offensive. The main reason for this guide/experiment is because of the curiosity behind it as well as the recent claims by many players that the amount of money spent on cases and keys far surpasses what you will receive from the cases.
Disclaimer: I do not claim this simulator is 100% accurate the same cases that Valve offers in CounterStrike: Global Offensive. Also open cases at your own risk. Even though I may have gotten very lucky with a certain case, that does not necessarily mean that you will have the same luck! Open CSGO cases responsibly!
Operation Breakout:
Operation Breakout’s case was pretty much what I expect for most cases that someone would open. The case itself contains the coveted butterfly knives that are some of the more valuable knives available on the market outside of those dropped in the Gamma and Chroma cases. I did not receive many reds from this case and also not many pink skins. However the case did average about to getting about $0.20 for about every $1.00 I put into cases and keys. 20 cents on the dollar isn’t a great rate, but it is also what many claim is about what you will average out to.
Courtesy: Convars.com
Operation Phoenix:
The Operation Phoenix case was even worse than the Operation Breakout case. However, it was not as bad as the first part of the guide whenever we opened the Falchion cases, but not by much. The odd part about this one is that most people associate Operation Phoenix with the AWP Asiimov, one of the most popular CSGO skins in the game. After 200 cases I only received one. A battle scarred one that did not increase my profits at all. I personally thought this would be one of the better cases because of how common the Asiimovs are so naturally I thought it correlated with how often they are opened in cases. After getting 14 cents in return for every dollar I spent on cases and keys I realized I was very wrong with this assumption. Below you can see the lack of money earned back from these cases.
Courtesy: Convars.com
Shadow Case:
You're hoping that it’s getting better by now if you’re reading this far down aren’t you? Well it gets a tiny bit better with the Shadow case. Even though I received a little bit more back from the Shadow case it wasn’t that great. I received $166.15 from the Shadow case. This is about $50 more than the Operation Breakout case. The Shadow Daggers are one of the lesser types of knives on the market currently. I did not receive any during this case opening. At this point I am losing confident in my ability to get a knife from any of these four cases. I do all of these in order of which I opened them. It’s pretty unbearable and disheartening to not see a knife.
Couresy: Convars.com
Revolver Case:
The final case of this case simulation is the Revolver Case. The Revolver Case comes from the infamous update that happened in December 2015 whenever the R8 Revolver was introduced in the game. The R8 broke the meta of the game, but the changes have since been reverted. This has meant that the R8 Revolver skins have been steadily going down in price. One of the R8 Revolver skins I got a $3.00 R8 Revolver Fade skin. Holy cow, that’s crazy! A $3.00 red that is less than a year old? What is this nonsense! However this case was the best case that I opened in this case simulation. I even recieved a knife.
Courtesy: Convars.com
The results of this case were encouraging. A very low tier knife was very nice to see after not seeing any knives at all. I ended up receiving about $225.99 in skins while spending $502.50 on cases and keys. That means I got about 45 cents for every fake dollar I spent on cases and keys. This was a decent case that is a little above average.
Courtesy: Convars.com
Conclusion:
These cases were just absolutely awful. The Revolver case dropped me a very mediocre knife, but nothing more. The rest of the cases were terrible. I would not suggest opening any of these cases. I may have to follow up further with these cases and see if they can be even worse than Falchion. In the end, the Falchion case still reigns supreme whenever it comes to the worst case to open. The Chrome Case still holds its position as the best case to open
There will be multiple parts of this simulation. In the next few parts I will discussing a few things and making comparisons. Will a new case overthrow the Falchion as worse case? Will I get a better knife than the StatTrak M9 Bayonet Doppler? Is it possible to profit from 200 cases? All of these questions will be answered within the next few articles. Stay tuned and look for regular updates on these guides on the Team Dignitas website!
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